Class 8 Truck Market: 2026 Outlook – December 2024 Update
- Regulatory Pressures:
The EPA’s Clean Truck and GHG-3 regulations will drive fleet upgrades, with compliance deadlines approaching in 2027-2028. While administrative adjustments are possible, many fleets are expected to accelerate fleet renewals. - Stabilized Market Growth:
By 2026, improved inventory management and cautious capacity expansion will help balance production with demand, supporting steady market growth. - Economic Factors:
Infrastructure investments and robust industrial activity will fuel vocational truck demand. However, interest rates, fuel prices, and inflation will remain critical variables influencing fleet financing and operating costs.
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ACT's commercial vehicle forecast provides the best information available on how Class 8 truck sales are likely to change in the future.