Class 8 Truck Market: 2026 Outlook – January 2025
Regulatory Pressures:
The EPA’s Clean Truck and GHG-3 regulations will continue to shape fleet renewal strategies as compliance deadlines approach in 2027-2028. While policy adjustments under the new administration may modify specific requirements, many fleets are expected to accelerate upgrades to align with emissions standards.
Stabilized Market Growth:
By 2026, improved inventory management and a measured approach to capacity expansion will support a more balanced market. Steady demand for vocational trucks, underpinned by infrastructure investments, will offset lingering softness in the freight-focused tractor segment.
Economic Factors:
Infrastructure projects and resilient industrial activity will drive consistent demand for vocational trucks. However, rising interest rates and persistent inflation could challenge fleet financing and operations, with fluctuating fuel prices adding another layer of uncertainty for fleet operators.
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ACT's commercial vehicle forecast provides the best information available on how Class 8 truck sales are likely to change in the future.